Use Breakouts
This is simply the best way to catch the big trends.
All you do is look for support or resistance that's been tested more than twice and if the time frames are wide apart - even better. The more tests and the more different time frames, the more valid support and resistance is likely to be.
All you do is wait for the break and buy or sell accordingly.
Most traders hate buying breakouts, they want prices to come back so they can get in at a better price but of course they don't get in the market, the trend sails over the horizon and the trader who waits never gets in.
Breakouts are simple, effective and it can be very profitable.
The key is to focus on the really valid levels which have been tested numerous times and investors feel are significant.
There is no simpler or better way to get in on the big trends than to trade breakouts.
Getting In on The Trend Once its in Motion
What about if you miss the first entry level what is the best method to enter a trade?
Use Bollinger Bands
I personally don't think Bollinger bands are the best tool to catch new trends (although many people do) but there an excellent tool for getting in on a trend once its in motion.
In strong trends prices will be volatile and be at the outer or inner bands - but they will dip back to the centre moving average and this is where you buy.
This works because its human psychology greed and fear push prices to far and then they fall back to fair value which is the moving average.
The middle band is a great place to buy or sell. Stops should then be behind the outer band.
Nice and simple, as trading should be.
Timing Your Trading Signal
On both the above methods you need to make sure you get the odds on your side, you need to check momentum before you enter the market.
You need to use some momentum oscillators to get make sure you have price velocity on your side.
There are many to choose from and there discussed in our other articles - but we love the stochastic.
We simply use bullish or bearish divergence to trade moves and that it.
There are many other momentum indicators but the stochastic is simply the best tool to timing market entry.
So if you want to catch big trends then make sure you learn to use breakout methodology and Bollinger Bands and finally, time your entry with momentum.
If you do the above your forex trend following could become very profitable and you can enjoy long term currency trading success.
Forex channel breakouts occur anytime that a price, either going high or low, breaks one of the set lines of a channel that is developed through technical analysis.
A channel occurs when two lines are made to show the range of a current market. This can be done whether the market is in trend or in counter-trend. One line represents the high of a current channel, while the bottom line represents the low. The channel is found through technical analysis.
Any time the price of a currency pair rises above the top line, that is an upwards channel break. When the price of a currency pair drops below the bottom line of a channel, that is a downward channel break, also sometimes referred to as a "breakdown" as opposed to a "breakout." The channel breakout in a Forex market can happen either up or down, just as long as it escapes the channel created by your technical analysis.
Not every break in the line becomes a full blown breakout. There are often times when a price may temporarily just break one of the lines, then retreat back into the channel. These are called "false breaks" or "false breakouts."
These can be frustrating because a lot of money can be made in the Forex market off of being in early on a major breakout, so false breakouts tend to get the hopes up before dashing them again, but this is all part of trading Forex. Being on the right side of a true channel breakout is worth all the false alarms you might find along the way.
Besides, if you use your stops correctly, a fake channel breakout shouldn't cost you much, and it may even lead to a very slight profit. It's certainly worth the risk because when you hit the right side of a Forex channel breakout, the profits in some extreme cases can even be hundreds of pips.
A true Forex channel breakout that takes off however, can provide fantastic profits, and is a major reason why technical analysis is used in the market: to try and determine when these channel breakouts are going to occur and to get in the market early can bring good profits.
Channel breakouts can often lead to the forming of another channel, so constant analysis should take place even as the market is in the middle of a breakout in either direction. If you are riding the price up, a trailing stop can be a good idea since reversals can happen rapidly, and sometimes seemingly without warning.
A solid trading education will cover these basic aspects of trading:
1) Technical Analysis
2) Fundamental Analysis
3) Candlestick Analysis
4) Margin, Margin Calls and Leverage
5) Lot Sizing
6) Pip values and how to calculate profits and losses
7) Brokers
8) Spreads
9) Electronic trading platforms
And these are just the bare minimum. A good Forex education will walk you through various examples and even teach you how to trade with virtual money in the form of demo trading.
When first learning the ropes of Forex trading, you’ll probably make careless mistakes such as entering a buy trade when your intention is to sell. This happens to almost all new traders! Such mistakes can be learnt without losing you any money through demo trading. Demo trading allows you to familiarize yourself with your trading platform, such as how to enter stop and limit orders.
Once you’ve familiarized yourself with your trading platform, it’s a good idea to start developing your own trading ‘system’. This is where most retail Forex traders stumble and fall. Developing your own profitable trading system is a tough thing to do.
To help you with this task, you should talk to more traders and also read more trading books. If you keep this up, you’ll soon learn various trading strategies that can help you become consistently profitable. Mix and match the techniques you’ve learned until you settle on a comfortable trading system that suits your personality.
This system is simple so simple in fact that you will have no problem understanding how and why it works - don't confuse the fact that it's simple with its profit making ability. Some of the world's top traders have used it and made a killing.
The system was developed back in the seventies, to trade commodity markets by a trading legend - Richard Donchian, who is considered the father of modern trend following.
It was originally devised to take advantage of the four week cycle in commodity markets that also exists in currency markets.
It's called the four week rule and here is the rule:
Liquidate short positions and open long position when a price exceeds the highs of the previous 4 calendar weeks. Liquidate long positions and open short position when a price falls below the lows of the previous 4 calendar weeks.
How simple is that?
VERY - but back test it and you will see it works well on trending markets and currencies trend well. Its problem emerges when markets don't trend, so add this filter:
Eenter positions on the 4 week rule and exit the position on a shorter time frame. Time frames that are frequently used are 1 or 2 weeks. You then simply re enter on the 4 week rule.
That's it!
It works try it - but most forex traders won't use it - Why?
Because it's to Simple
Traders dismiss it straight away - but trading legends such as Richard Dennis have used it so you should consider it - if it's good enough for one of the greatest traders of all time - then its good enough for you.
It's not trendy
Today we have neural networks, Fibonacci systems, artificial intelligence and there more trendy and buzzy than this simple system. Traders like to think they can beat the markets, with trendy systems - but they can't.
It's Not Fussy about Market Timing
True - it doesn't buy market tops or bottoms and most traders are obsessed with prediction and of course prediction doesn't work - it's another word for hoping or guessing. This forex mechanical trading system works on the reality of price change and trades the truth - most traders hate doing this, despite the fact it's the only way to make money.
It's Takes Discipline to Follow
Most traders lack discipline and when a forex trading system is so mechanical and so un fussy about timing they can't do it and throw in the towel.
This mechanical forex trading system works and is based on breakout methodology which is a proven way to make money - if you use it, you will find that you have a free system that will beat 99% of the junk systems sold on the net, with worthless simulated back tested track records.
If you use this forex mechanical trading system you will get a head start on your way to long term profits.
Some Facts You Should Know In Day Trading:
1. The day trading signals are the signals obtained when stocks bounce off of support levels or sometimes even off resistance, if required.
2. In day trading, you rack up many more transactions than anyone else ever would just trading normally.
3. One of the biggest enemies of a trading system is transaction costs.
4. The longer the stock stays at a particular level; the better is the day trading signal of support.
5. Day trading is an extremely demanding and expensive task.
Some Benefits Of Day Trading:
1. Secondly, day trading allows for lesser speculation as the trader may not see a lot of variation in the values during a span of a day.
2. First of all, it is a safer way for people who do not have a lot of know-how in stock trading; therefore, they can easily follow their stocks during the day and sell them off as soon as they see a rise in the value.
3. One of the great advantages of Forex Trading is that you can buy currencies when they are being devaluated, thus making a profit when it gains ground.
4. Awareness regarding day trading stock picks allows a day trader to gain maximum returns from the market.
Some Tips For Day Trading:
1. If you plan to invest your money in day trading, make sure you do not put in all your hard earned savings in one go, as this might prove to be quite dangerous for you.
2. Essential in day trading basics is determining which of these systems is the right one for the novice investor.
3. Day trading stock picks are the best stock deals that are available for day trading.
4. The benefits and risks should be carefully weighed and the decision made upon an educated knowledge of day trading and just by taking chances.
5. It is always better to start with a small position size in day trading, until you get the hang of the system.
The Forex Trading;
Trading in currencies is the ultimate liquid market, with volume often 50 to 100 times greater than the trading of stocks on the New York Exchange, and, because of the nature of currencies and the multiple factors controlling its value, no one has an overriding advantage or insight into the market. There are many forex-trading companies that can train you for day trading so that your transactions are not reduced to gambling. Day trading, despite differences in times zones throughout the world, is also popular because the forex market remains open 24 hours a day.
Trading Software:
Recognizing good trading software is an easy task, as the basic requirement is that of a data provider which will help you analyze the market before you start online trading. Trading software is not only important but necessary to survive in today's competitive market.
Some Trading Media:
1. While there are many day traders who do their trading using only the computer, there are others who trade using telephone and mobile phones.
2. With the advent of the Internet, anyone can reap the benefits of Forex Trading.
Day Traders Should Be:
1. Day traders are more particular with buying and selling not the bottom line.
2. A person is considered a day trader when they can accomplish four or more day trades in a five business day period and has two unmet day trade calls in 90 days.
3. In day trading, the trader does not hold stocks until the next day; instead dispose it off by the end of the day.
While there are many forex trading systems that use this same premise for trading, few are structured to give the trader the minute-by-minute trend information needed in order to profit consistently from this market. While some forex trading systems try to forecast future market movements, others concentrate on analyzing the up-to-the-moment data in order to provide traders with a profitable exit point. This is what John Chen's Profitable Trend Forex System intends to do for its users. John's system utilizes the MetaTrader4 charting software, which can be downloaded free; all the given indicators are taken from this software.
Chen has been successfully trading the forex market now for several years. He has made the claim to have never had a single losing month using his system. One fact that he discloses which may make this claim credible is that he admits his system is only 70-75% accurate. And that what he attempts to accomplish is more higher-profit winning trades while limiting his losing trades to lower amounts. In other words, he endeavors to abandon a trade promptly once it indicates that it's headed in the opposite direction of a profit in order to cut his loses. On average, he states, he's been able to accomplish this using his Profitable Trend Forex System.
Chen's forex trading system concentrates on giving the trader two very crucial pieces of information vital to any successful trade: it endeavors to identify the trend, and to join the trend with precise timing. In addition, two other important factors are also given high priority consideration: these are "stop loss" and "take profit." A stop loss is an order to cease trading when the currency reaches a certain point. The take profit mode is a conservative approach to a market upswing which results in guaranteeing a profit while at the same time limiting the downside risk of a quick collapse.
By following the precise entry and exit rules, the trader is given the two information keys to either a profitable trade or a timely exit from a potential losing trade. Money management also plays a key roll in the Profitable Trend System, and disciplined money management rules are heavily stressed. One user of the system reports that "so far it's making me money consistently." Another user exclaims that: "For me, it's a flexible and profitable system that really improved my trading."
To learn more about this forex trading system, you can read a further opinion at Review of the Profitable Trend Forex System.
Do some Research
The type of security account you should be working toward depends of course on your own particular objectives and goals.
Certain fundamental investment procedures should always be observed. First, any and every security decision made must be based on facts not on rumor, hearsay, or a "tip." Get from your broker, or from an investment service or analytical report, the complete information about the company and security in question capitalization, trend and consistency of earning power, quality of management, balance sheet position, research program, dividend record, price range, etc.
If possible, compare the security you have in mind with a similar one in the same industry. Satisfy yourself so far as possible that this particular security will accomplish the purpose for which you are purchasing it.
Diversification
In launching your program, start off with quality securities. Buy the best in the category you have decided on. Then consider diversification. This is a rather overworked word and the principle can be overdone. Sensible diversification calls for spreading your investments over a sufficient number of individual issues so that if one stock does not work out well, it will not seriously impair the market value or the income return of the entire list.
Originally, diversification was entirely a defensive concept to insulate against loss by spreading the risk. More recently, however, diversification has been thought of in a more positive way, namely, the spreading of investment over a number of issues to assure broader representation among dynamic industries.
Either way you view the matter, diversification is a sound principle and you should follow it, but not make a fetish of it. If your list totals less than six figures, then 8 to 12 individual issues should provide a quite practical degree of diversification. A compact list of securities is easier to follow, and too many issues needlessly clutter up your bookkeeping and create "scatter-fication" rather than intelligent diversification.
Practically, diversification is used to divide investment holdings among the major groups utilities, railroads, financial companies, oil, chemicals, steels, Pharmaceuticals, merchandising, publishing, minerals, and mining, etc. Industrial trends at the time of purchase are important. For example, in the early 1900's, railroads were a dominant factor in our economy, and a stock list without railway securities in it would have been almost unthinkable.
There is no such insistence on railway issues today, and their attraction is more in high dividend return than in concepts of dynamic growth. Oils, in late 1956, displayed a significant flattening out in earning power; and in the period 1957 to 1960, oil shares were among the poorest market performers. So there are fashions in finance which should be observed. In 1915, trolley stocks and bonds were in great favor. Where are they today?
Sample Portfolio
Having set down the basic criteria for building your own investment portfolio, it might be well to outline a sample program. Please bear in mind, however, that this list is merely an illustration and in no sense to be regarded as recommendations or endorsements of individual securities.
Conservative Income Program Sample Portfolio of Common Stocks
Standard Oil of N. J.
American Telephone and Telegraph Commonwealth Edison
Niagara Mohawk Power
American Tobacco Company
First National City Bank
Norfolk and Western Railroad American Express Company
Procter and Gamble
This will give you some ideas about quality selection and diversification. For guidance in your consideration of securities primarily for dependable income, you should obtain a list published by the New York Stock Exchange of stocks which have paid dividends regularly for 25 to 50 years. A similar list of long dividend-paying-over-the-counter issues is published semi-annually by the Commercial and Financial Chronicle.
Now it remains for you to make up your own investment program. Good luck!
Luckily, there are three easy ways to make the most of the many benefits tax liens have to offer.
Let's take a look at what it takes to be highly successful in the lucrative world of tax lien investing:
1. The absolute most important component to tax lien investing success is proper research. You need to know exactly what kinds of properties are connected to the liens you want to buy. You should know how much it's worth, if it's in a good neighborhood, and if it's in good repair.
These are critical points to consider. When you buy a tax lien, you may need foreclose on the property if the redemption period expires and the owner still hasn't paid off the delinquent taxes. You won't want to own a broken down shack in the middle of a ghetto. Check up on the properties. It's the only way to rest easy that you've made a good investment.
2. Create a list of the liens that pass your due diligence inspection. These are the liens you'll be bidding on at the auction. By making a clear and orderly list of the liens that you want, you'll avoid any risk of losing out on prime liens because you forgot to bid on them.
Keep the list of lien ID numbers on your lap during the auction. Each time the auctioneer calls off a new lien number, check it against your list. This will quickly tell if you want to bid on the lien or not.
3. Call out your bid with authority. Don't speak in a quiet, timid voice. This will result in your bid going unheard. You should match the volume and pace of the other bidders in the room. It's very easy to do. Simply watch and listen.
You'll quickly detect the bidding tempo and volume being used. Now, do your best to match it. Strong bidding is a key to tax lien investing success.
The above strategies should point you in the right direction. Tax lien investing is very fun and profitable-- if you do it right. Use these pointers to make your next investment the best it can be.
It is possible to make money in Forex trading by picking winning trades with no better statistical advantage than flipping a coin.
How can someone make money when you only get half the trades right? That means 5 out of every 10 trades are losers. Well, if your money management is set up with the right profit loss ratio, it is possible.
Let's use 30 pips as a profit target on every trade and 20 pips as a stop loss on every trade. We will use 10 trades to make it easier using percentages. Winning 5 trades at 30 pips per trade, nets 150 pips profit. Losing 5 trades at 20 pips per trade is 100 pips loss. The net profit for ten trades is 50 pips gain. With one contract, this is $500.00 or one mini-contract, this is $50.00 per ten trades.
Let's say you get better at your trading and win 60% trades. Winning 6 trades at 30 pips per trade, nets 180 pips profit. Losing 4 trades at 20 pips per trade is 80 pips loss. The net profit for ten trades is 100 pips. With one contract, this is $1,000.00 or one mini-contract, this is $100.00 profit per ten trades.
A more rare win percentage is 70%. But working out the math, 7 winning trades at 30 pips, nets 210 pips profit. Losing 3 trades at 20 pips per trade is 60 pips loss. The net profit for ten trades is 150 pips. With one contract, this is $1,500.00 or one mini-contract, this is $150.00 profit per ten trades.
This shows that even with only 50 % wins, money can be made. Using a 3:2 profit loss ratio is profitable for making money in Forex trading. This could mean using a 60 point target with a 40 point stop loss as well.
Using a smaller ratio like a 30 point target and 30 point stop loss, a 1:1 ratio will only give a profit with a win rate greater than 50%. You may find that your trading strategy can only get a 20 point target so you may need to do the 1:1 ratio. Using the 3:2 ratio, with a 20 point target, you will have less than 20 as a stop loss and this is too small of a stop loss for Forex trading. There are so many market forces that can swing more than 20 pips and hit your stop loss. Practically speaking, you need to work with the currency pairs with the smallest spreads when using a 20 point stop.
Now, knowing the right target loss ratio, the right trading strategy needs to be incorporated to make this work. Finding the right strategy is vital to this ratio.
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